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Economy of Albania

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Economy of Albania

Economy of Albania
Currency Lek (ALL)
Calendar year
Trade organisations
WTO, BSEC
Statistics
GDP Increase$32.259 billion (PPP, 2015) [1]
GDP rank 109th (PPP, 2012 est.)[1]
GDP growth
Increase2.1% (Real, 2014 est.)
GDP per capita
Increase $11.700 (PPP, 2014 est.)[2]
GDP by sector
agriculture: 20.4%, industry: 19.1%, services: 60.5% (2012 est.)
Decrease2.0% (CPI, 2012 est.)
Population below poverty line
1.3% (2012)[3]
34.5 (2008)[3]
Labour force
1.280 million (2014)
Labour force by occupation
Agriculture 47.6%, Industry 23.0%, Services 29.2% (September 2010 est.)
Unemployment Decrease17.0% official rate[4]
Average gross salary
380 € / 500 $, monthly (2012)[5]
Main industries
perfumes and cosmetic products, food and tobacco products; textiles and clothing; lumber, oil, cement, chemicals, mining, basic metals, hydropower
82nd[6]
External
Exports Increase$2.5 billion (2013 )[7]
Export goods
textiles and footwear; asphalt, metals and metallic ores, crude oil; vegetables, fruits, tobacco
Main export partners
 Italy 51.1%
 Spain 9.2%
 Turkey 6.3%
 Greece 4.4% (2012)[8]
Imports Increase$5.2 billion (2013)
Import goods
machinery and equipment, foodstuffs, textiles, chemicals
Main import partners
 Italy 31.9%
 Greece 9.5%
 China 6.4%
 Germany 6.0%
 Turkey 5.7% (2012)[9]
Public finances
negative increase$5.84 billion (December 2012)[3]
Revenues Increase $3.60 billion (Budget 2014)[10]
Expenses Increase$4.50 billion (Budget 2014)[10]
Economic aid recipient: ODA: $366 million (top donors were Italy, EU, Germany) (2003 est.)
Standard & Poor's:[11]
B (Domestic)
B (Foreign)
BB- (T&C Assessment)
Outlook: Negative[12]
Foreign reserves
Decrease$2.35 billion (December 2012)[3]
Main data source: CIA World Fact Book
All values, unless otherwise stated, are in US dollars.

The economy of Albania has undergone a transition from its Communist past into an open-market economy in the early 1990s. The country is rich in natural resources, and the economy is mainly bolstered by agriculture, food processing, lumber, oil, cement, chemicals, mining, basic metals, hydro power, tourism, textile industry, and petroleum extraction. As of 2014, exports seem to gain momentum and have increased 300% from 2008, although their contribution to the gross domestic product is still moderate (the exports per capita ratio as of 2014 is around $1,100 ).

Contents

  • History 1
  • Macro-economic trends 2
  • External trade 3
  • Oil and gas 4
  • Statistics 5
    • Macroeconomic indicators 5.1
    • Industry 5.2
    • Agriculture 5.3
    • Foreign trade 5.4
    • Energy 5.5
    • Exchange rates 5.6
  • See also 6
  • References 7
  • Further reading 8
  • External links 9

History

The collapse of communism in Albania came later and was more chaotic than in other Eastern European countries and was marked by a mass exodus of refugees to Italy and Greece in 1991 and 1992. The country attempted to transition to autarky, but this eventually failed badly. Attempts at reform began in earnest in early 1992 after real GDP fell by more than 50% from its peak in 1989. Albania currently suffers from high organised crime and corruption rates.

The democratically elected government that assumed office in April 1992 launched an ambitious economic reform program to halt economic deterioration and put the country on the path toward a market economy. Key elements included price and exchange system liberalization, fiscal consolidation, monetary restraint, and a firm income policy. These were complemented by a comprehensive package of structural reforms including privatization, enterprise, and financial sector reform, and creation of the legal framework for a market economy and private sector activity. Most agriculture, state housing, and small industry were privatized. This trend continued with the privatization of transport, services, and small and medium-sized enterprises. In 1995, the government began privatizing large state enterprises. After reaching a low point in the early 1990s, the economy slowly expanded again, reaching its 1989 level by the end of the decade.[13]

Macro-economic trends

This is a chart of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) of Albania in national currency (million leks) and in US dollars based on Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) from estimates by the International Monetary Fund.[14]
Year GDP,
million leks
GDP,
million US$–PPP
US$ exchange
rate, leks/$
Inflation index (2000=100)
1980 17,411 4,836 9.49 5.10...
1985 18,896 6,891 8.58 5.10
1990 18,840 8,233 9.01 5.10
1995 251,843 8,108 92.79 55
2000 530,906 11,483 143.68 100
2005 836,833 16,944 100.19 121
2007 982,179 18,818 103.34 124

For purchasing power parity comparisons, the US dollar is exchanged at 49 leks (2007 estimate).[14] Mean wages were $3.83 per manhour in 2009.

Albania is a middle income country by Western European standards, with GDP per capita greater than the several countries in the region. . According to Eurostat, Albania's GDP per capita (expressed in PPS – Purchasing Power Standards) stood at 35 percent of the EU average in 2008. Unemployment rate of 13.3% is considerably lower than many countries in Balkans, For Example, Serbia has an unemployment rate of 24%.[15]

Results of Albania's efforts were initially encouraging. Led by the agricultural sector, real GDP grew by an estimated 11% in 1993, 8% in 1994, and more than 8% in 1995, with most of this growth in the private sector. Annual inflation dropped from 25% in 1991 to single-digit numbers. The Albanian currency, the lek, stabilized. Albania became less dependent on food aid. The speed and vigour of private entrepreneurial response to Albania's opening and liberalizing was better than expected. Beginning in 1995, however, progress stalled, with negligible GDP growth in 1996 and a 9% contraction in 1997. A weakening of government resolve to maintain stabilization policies in the election year of 1996 contributed to renewal of inflationary pressures, spurred by the budget deficit which exceeded 12%. Inflation approached 20% in 1996 and 50% in 1997. The collapse of financial pyramid schemes in early 1997 – which had attracted deposits from a substantial portion of Albania's population – triggered severe social unrest which led to more than 1,500 deaths, widespread destruction of property, and an 8% drop in GDP. The lek initially lost up to half of its value during the 1997 crisis, before rebounding to its January 1998 level of 143 to the dollar. The new government, installed in July 1997, has taken strong measures to restore public order and to revive economic activity and trade.

Albania is currently undergoing an intensive macroeconomic restructuring regime with the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank. The need for reform is profound, encompassing all sectors of the economy. In 2000, the oldest commercial bank, Banka Kombetare Tregtare/BKT was privatized. In 2004, the largest commercial bank in Albania—then the Savings Bank of Albania—was privatised and sold to Raiffeisen Bank of Austria for US$124 million. . Macroeconomic growth has averaged around 5% over the last five years and inflation is low and stable. The government has taken measures to curb violent crime, and recently adopted a fiscal reform package aimed at reducing the large gray economy and attracting foreign investment. The economy is bolstered by annual remittances from abroad representing about 15% of GDP, mostly from Albanians residing in Greece and Italy; this helps offset the towering trade deficit. The agricultural sector, which accounts for over half of employment but only about one-fifth of GDP, is limited primarily to small family operations and subsistence farming because of lack of modern equipment, unclear property rights, and the prevalence of small, inefficient plots of land. Energy shortages because of a reliance on hydropower, and antiquated and inadequate infrastructure contribute to Albania's poor business environment and lack of success in attracting new foreign investment. The completion of a new thermal power plant near Vlore has helped diversify generation capacity, and plans to improve transmission lines between Albania and Montenegro and Kosovo would help relieve the energy shortages. Also, with help from EU funds, the government is taking steps to improve the poor national road and rail network, a long-standing barrier to sustained economic growth.

Reforms have been taken especially since 2005. In 2009, Albania was the only country in Europe, together with San Marino and Liechtenstein, to have economic growth; Albanian GDP real growth was 3.7%.[16] Year after year, the tourism sector has gained a growing share in the country's GDP.

Data published as of July 2012 by the National Institute of Statistics, INSTAT, show the economy contracted by 0.2 per cent in the first quarter of the year - a downturn blamed mainly on the eurozone debt crisis.[17]

External trade

Albanian exports in 2006

However, reforms are constrained by limited administrative capacity and low income levels, which make the population particularly vulnerable to unemployment, price fluctuation, and other variables that negatively affect income. The economy continues to be bolstered by remittances of some 20% of the labour force that works abroad, mostly in Greece and Italy. These remittances supplement GDP and help offset the large foreign trade deficit. Most agricultural land was privatized in 1992, substantially improving peasant incomes. In 1998, Albania recovered the 8% drop in GDP of 1997 and pushed ahead by 7% in 1999. International aid has helped defray the high costs of receiving and returning refugees from the Kosovo conflict. Large-scale investment from outside is still hampered by poor infrastructure; lack of a fully functional banking system; untested or incompletely developed investment, tax, and contract laws; and an enduring mentality that discourages initiative.

Oil and gas

Albania has the second largest oil deposits in Balkana (after Romania) and the largest onshore oil reserves in Europe. Albania's crude output amounted to more than 1.2 million tonnes in 2013, including 1.06 million by Canada's Bankers Petroleum, 87,063 tonnes from Canada's Stream Oil and 37,406 tonnes by Albpetrol on its own. Three foreign firms produced the rest.[18]

Statistics

Macroeconomic indicators

GDP (PPP): $32.259 billion[1] (2015)

GDP per capita (PPP): $11.700[1] (2015)
country comparison to the world: 95

GDP - real growth rate: 3.5% (2011)
country comparison to the world: 109

Inflation: 3.5% (2010)
country comparison to the world: 114

Unemployment: 13.3% (2010 est)
country comparison to the world: 141

Industry

Industrial production growth rate: 3% (2010 est.)
country comparison to the world: 113

Agriculture

Products: wheat, maize, potatoes, vegetables, fruits, sugar beets, grapes; meat, dairy products

Foreign trade

Exports: $3.1 billion (2014 est.)
country comparison to the world: 121

Imports: $5.8 billion (2014 est.)
country comparison to the world: 120

Import partners: Italy 45.6%, Greece 7.8%, Turkey 7.4%, Germany 5.6%, Switzerland 5%, China 4.2% (2014)

Remittances: $600 million (2014 est.)

Current account balance: -$1.704 billion (2014 est.)
country comparison to the world: 152

Foreign exchange reserves: $2.479 billion (2008)
country comparison to the world: 103

Energy

Electricity – production: 5.201 billion kWh (2009)
country comparison to the world: 113

Electricity – production by source:

  • fossil fuel: 2.9%
  • hydro: 97.1%
  • other: 0%
  • nuclear: 0% (2007)

Electricity

  • Consumption: 6.593 billion kWh (2009)


country comparison to the world: 102

  • Exports: 0 kWh (2009)
  • Imports: 1.884 billion kWh (2009 est.)

Oil

  • production: 24.000 barrels per day (3.8157 m3/d) (2014)


country comparison to the world: 94

  • consumption: 36,000 barrels per day (5,700 m3/d) (2009)


country comparison to the world: 107

  • exports: 748.9 barrels per day (119.07 m3/d) (2005 est.)
  • imports: 24,080 barrels per day (3,828 m3/d) (2007 est.)
  • proved reserves: 199,100,000 barrels (31,650,000 m3) (January 1, 2008)

Natural gas

  • production: 30 million m³ (2006 est.)


country comparison to the world: 84

  • consumption: 30 million m³ (2006 est.)


country comparison to the world: 108

  • exports: 0 cu m (2007 est.)
  • imports: 0 cu m (2007 est.)
  • proved reserves: 849.5 million m³ (January 1, 2008 est.)


country comparison to the world: 100

Exchange rates

  • Lekë per US dollar: 79.546 (2008), 92.668 (2007), 98.384 (2006), 102.649 (2005), 102.78 (2004), 121.863 (2003), 140.155 (2002), 143.485 (2001), 143.709 (2000), 137.691 (1999)

See also

References

  1. ^ a b c d "Report for Selected Countries and Subjects". Imf.org. 2006-09-14. Retrieved 2014-10-07. 
  2. ^ [1]
  3. ^ a b c d [2]
  4. ^ [3]
  5. ^ http://www.shqiptarja.com/ekonomi/2733/instat-rritet-numri-i-te-punesuarve-ne-ekonomi-dhe-pagat-ne-shqiperi-188853.html
  6. ^ "Doing Business in Albania 2012".  
  7. ^ http://www.instat.gov.al/media/224799/tregtia_e_jashtme_dhjeotr_2013.pdf
  8. ^ "Export Partners of Albania".  
  9. ^ "Import Partners of Albania".  
  10. ^ a b March 2014 "Official government budget for 2014". Ministry of economics of Albania , Page 3. 
  11. ^ "Sovereigns rating list". Standard & Poor's. Retrieved 26 May 2011. 
  12. ^ [4]
  13. ^ current GDP per capita
  14. ^ a b IMF online statistical database
  15. ^ "Albania's GDP per capita in PPS (2008)". Eurostat. Retrieved 2009-06-25. 
  16. ^ "CIA – The World Factbook – Country Comparison :: National product real growth rate". CIA Factbook. Retrieved 30 July 2010. 
  17. ^ http://www.balkaninsight.com/en/article/albanians-pessimistic-on-the-economy1
  18. ^ http://in.reuters.com/article/2014/05/06/albania-crude-idINL6N0NS55T20140506

Further reading

  • Bitzenis, Aristidis, and Leslie T. Szamosi. "Entry Modes and the Determinants of Foreign Direct Investment in a European Union Accession Country: The Case of Albania." Journal of East-West Business 15, no.3-4 (2009): 189-209.
  • Feilcke-Tiemann, Adelheid. "Albania: Gradual Consolidation limited by Internal Political Struggles". Southeast European and Black Sea Studies 6, no. 1 (2006):25-41.

External links

  • Albic Business Web Portal in Albania
  • Bank of Albania (official site)
  • U.S. Department of Energy – Country Report on Albania
  • BlejShqip.al - Buy Albanian Products Official Website
  • Ministry of Finance of Albania Official Website
  • Lawyers Property Albania ltd
  • Comprehensive Balkanalysis.com 2012 report on Albania oil sector foreign investment
  • Albania Business and Property Portal
  • Banka Kombetare Tregtare / BKT
  • Raiffeisen Bank Albania
  • Ministry of Economy, Trade, and Energy of Albania Official Website
  • Comprehensive current and historical economic data
Trade
  • World Bank Trade Summary Statistics Albania 2012
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